In general, the line moving is considered to be a mistake on someone, whether it is the bookmaker, the casino, or the person setting the odds, someone will be wrong. As well, for the reason that the lines will be adjusted according to the various types of action, the sportsbooks have created three primary reasons a line would move in the first place. Here is a look at each reason the NBA line may change on an NCAA game.

Firstly, the amount of money bet on one side to the next can affect the line drastically. For example, if Duke is favored by 24 over Michigan, the public may wager 75 to 80 percent of the money on the game on Duke. As a result, in order to correct the line, the bookie may move the number to being 23.5 or 22 point spread instead. This new line, can then provide bettors the opportunity to take Michigan, since it appears that the bookies no something that the bettor does not.

Secondly, knowing who bets on what side can affect the line drastically. For instance, if hardcore bettors who frequent one sportsbook take the underdog, but a new bettor drops $100 on the favorite, the bookie will adjust the line according to what they are familiar with. Another reason they may adjust the line is player personnel movement. If a team gets an injured player back in the lineup, the bookies may circle the game since they are unsure how one team will fair over the other.

Whether you are new or more experienced in handicapping college basketball, you can instantly tell how confident a sportsbook is in one team defeating the other, by examining the point spread on each game. For instance, if Duke is favored over Virginia by three and a half points, you know that the sportsbook is undecided at who will win the game, since both teams have a reasonable chance at winning. At the same time, a sportsbook that has the NBA Champion Dallas Mavericks defeating the Toronto Raptors by 15 points on the point spread, shows that they are confident in the Mavericks and do not believe a Raptors upset is in the books.

As it relates to point spread reversals betting system, the system calls for you Joe bettor to look at teams records against the spread from the start of the season up until February 1^st. You may notice, that some of the top teams in the nation are absolutely dreadful against the spread in the early part of the season, while terrible teams are the opposite. With this being the case, February 1, signifies the halfway mark of the season, between the start and when the March Madness Tournament begins. As a result, you should expect the top teams to begin to cover the spreads, while the terrible teams continue to play to their talent levels.

Savannah State at Wisconsin Badgers – The top 10 ranked Badgers are a 27 point favorite in this game, but don’t let the large number fool you. In their victory Tuesday against Milwaukee, the Badgers blew a 17 point lead and were lucky to get out of the game with a victory let alone trying to cover the point spread. With that being said, it is important to note, that this is a very good defensive team at Wisconsin. Within the Big 10, the Badgers are at or near the top in several marquee defensive categories, including points allowed and shooting percentage. Wisconsin isn’t known for putting up too many points, and fans would be wise to pick Savannah State to cover the spread.

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles At Gonzaga Bulldogs – The Bulldogs have been one of the biggest surprises of 2011 season, in that they are struggling perhaps more so then they should. Gonzaga has dropped its last two games, losing a nail bitter to Illinois, before losing by seven to the Michigan State Spartans. However, facing Oral Roberts may just be what the doctor ordered, as they are ranked lower in the standings then Gonzaga. If Gonzaga wants to continue being a story, they should spin their luck by destroying Oral Roberts.

Kentucky Wildcats at St. John’s Red Storm – One of only two AP 25 games scheduled for tonight, features the top seeded Kentucky Wildcats taking on the unranked St. John’s Red Storm. Based strictly on last season, this game would have been considered by many, to be one of the most intriguing matchups. After all, the Red Storm has always been strong defensively, while the Wildcats are in a class of their own, dominating the rest of the NCAA like a strong NBA team.

This game will be no easy task for the Red Storm, as not only are they facing the nation’s new top seed, but they will have to do so without star player Steve Lavin. Lavin is still recovering from surgery after removing his prostate, which had cancer in it. With heavy hearts, the Red Storm could keep things close in this game, and even win it for Lavin. What’s most likely to happen is that Anthony Davis and Marquis Teague of Kentucky, will dominate off the glass, and help Kentucky win the game.

Georgetown Hoyas v Alabama Crimson Tide – This is the second of the two AP 25 games, as the unranked Hoyas travel to Alabama to take on the 12^th ranked Crimson Tide. On paper, this could be one of the better valued games of the season, as Georgetown always fields a good program. On the contrary, this is the first time we can recall Alabama putting a good team together, can they keep it going? Both teams have strong offenses, and should be able to go over the total.

Long Beach State 49ers v San Diego State Aztecs – After dominating the Pitt Panthers in last night’s game by a final of 86  – 76, the Long Beach Sate 49ers will look to build on a great start to the season on Saturday. However, Long Beach State will be facing another state school, which in the past has been amazing. That school is the San Diego State Aztecs. Formerly one of the top ranked schools in the NCAA a year ago, SDSU will be looking to show fans and experts, that they do not need the NBA bound Kawhi Leonard to win games. Long Beach State is one of those teams that comes out of nowhere to put together a strong season. Yet, the Aztecs are more defensively conscious then the 49ers last opponent the Pitt Panthers. Meaning to say, if the Aztecs lose this game, it won’t be because of lack of effort.

Penn State Nittany Lions v Kentucky Wildcats – For most bettors, the idea behind wagering on college basketball is to pick upsets. In Saturday’s game featuring the Nittany Lions and Wildcats, all the money for this game should and will be on the Wildcats, as the public’s revenge tour on Penn State carries over to the hardwood. In theory, this game was going to be a blowout anyways, because Kentucky’s lineup is flat out amazing.

Over the past two seasons, the Holy Cross Crusaders have gone an abysmal three and 20 in games decided by five points or less. Simply put, when looking for a team to fade in the college basketball betting, no team has been a wiser choice then the Holy Cross Crusaders. As the three and two record indicates, the Crusaders defense comparable to the Toronto Raptors of the NBA has trouble holding down leads.

However, also comparable to the Raptors, when it comes to blowing out other bad teams, the Crusaders have won their fair share of games. Meaning to say, with Head Coach Milan Brown and his staff returning for another season, it stands to reason, that the Crusaders can and will improve on their overall quality of play.

What’s perhaps most intriguing about the Crusaders, is that they have been bad more or less because of growing pains over the years rather then anything else. As we mentioned earlier, the team has gone through a barrage of coaching staffs and player personnel changes. But, as we also noted, having Milan Brown back for another year, should allow Crusader players to feel comfortable heading into this season. Ideally, if the Crusaders can buy into Brown’s systems this year, the team should be able to transition into one of the better teams in their division.

John Shurna Northwestern – Last season, Shurna really elevated his game to the next level, as he was able to hit roughly 43.4 percent of his shots from the three point line. At six feet eight inches tall, Shurna has exceptional size for a shooting guard. Shurna was expected to be a top 15 pick in the 2011 NBA draft, but instead chose to return to school, because of the lockout. John Shurna has been the leading scorer and centerpiece for Northwestern, the last couple of seasons. This year, he will try and guide Northwestern to a final four in the March Madness tournament.

Draymond Green Michigan State – Green has been one of the most consistent players for Tom Izzo’s Spartans throughout his NCAA career. Draymond is a solid defender but has yet to really develop an offensive side to his game. Meaning to say, entering the 2011 – 12 seasons, Draymond Green has been hard at work to develop his all around game. With Michigan State finishing with a disappointing 19 – 15 record a year ago, a more complete Green will be the key to success.

Jordan Taylor Wisconsin – Comparable to John Shurna from Northwestern, Jordan Taylor burst onto the college basketball scene in his junior year in 2010 – 11. Wisconsin as a whole turned heads last season, as they went on an extended run in the NCAA tournament. The main reason for the turn around, was the emergence of Taylor, who along with possessing great court IQ, also administered some great scoring runs in important situations.

Mike Anderson Arkansas – In the basketball world, both in the NBA and college ranks, the name Mike Anderson and rebuilding programs has become synonymous. Currently at Arkansas, Anderson has received his first Head Coaching gig in 2002, when he took over UAB. During his tenure at UAB, Anderson found instant success as he guided the team to an impressive 89 – 41 record in his four years, with two sweet 16 berths. He then went to Missouri, where after growing pains in his first two years, Anderson guided Missouri to an elite eight finish in his third year.

Ben Howland UCLA – Ben Howland has over 20 years experience in college basketball, and similar to Mike Anderson, has had the NBA come knocking on his door on more than one occasion. What’s more, Howland has been all over the place to help revitalize programs. He made the jump to UCLA in 2003 and has helped the program return to prominence after a few dark years. What’s more, Howland is one of only three active coaches to guide his team to four final four appearances.

John Calipari Kentucky – If there is one coach that probably could find success with a young team in the NBA, it is Kentucky boss John Calipari. Since starting his career almost 20 years ago, Calipari has become the doctor of recruiting, as he has built up several outstanding programs. Thus far in his career he has yet to win a National title, but has taken several schools to the final four.

Nick Johnson G Arizona Wildcats – With Derrick Williams leaving Arizona after two seasons to pursue his dreams of becoming an NBA star, many fans, we included, felt that Arizona would be in tough to even make the 2012 March Madness tournament. Enter Nick Johnson, a six foot three inch combination guard with a ton of speed, court IQ and defensive awareness that he could probably go into the NBA after this coming season. Johnson has the ability to steal and rebound the ball in a matter of seconds, making his team’s transition game quite impressive.

Myck Kabongo G Texas Longhorns – From a Canadian standpoint, it doesn’t get any better than Myck Kabongo. Last season, the Texas Longhorns had two Canadian standouts in Tristan Thompson and Corey Joseph. This season, Kabongo should step right into the starting five and be able to guide the Longhorns to an extended run in the March Madness tournament. At six feet two inches tall, Kabongo has incredible decision making skills, which can allow him to be one of the top point guards in the NCAA.

Austin Rivers SG Duke Blue Devils – Although the Duke Blue Devils would have loved to have had Kyrie Irving for an entire four years, they aren’t losing any sleep over his decision. Instead, most Blue Devils fans are chomping at the bit to see shooting guard Austin Rivers play for one of the most legendary programs this coming season. Rivers has the ability to absolutely take over games on both the offensive and defensive side of the ball.